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Potential Explanations for Our Michigan Presidential Election Polling Miss

IPPSR’s State of the State Survey (SOSS) suggested an easy path to victory for Hillary Clinton in Michigan’s 2016 general election, but Donald Trump won the state by a narrow margin on his way to an Electoral College victory. Our survey was hardly alone in showing a Clinton lead (only one Michigan public survey in all of 2016 showed a Trump lead), but SOSS was the furthest off from the final result.

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